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Thèses |
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1
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Nathalia Cristina Rodrigues Soeira
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EVALUATION OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ELECTRIC VEHICLES IN THE BRAZILIAN ENERGY SYSTEM
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Leader : REINALDO CRISPINIANO GARCIA
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MEMBRES DE LA BANQUE :
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PASTOR WILLY GONZALES TACO
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REGINALDO SANTANA FIGUEIREDO
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REINALDO CRISPINIANO GARCIA
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SERGIO RONALDO GRANEMANN
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Data: 25 janv. 2023
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Afficher le Résumé
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The way energy is generated has changed dramatically with the advent of electricity and fossil fuels. In the 18th century, with the beginning of the industrial age, the concentration of atmospheric CO2 rose by 50%, being today 420 ppm (parts per million) corresponding to 150% of the value in 1750. Aiming to reduce the GHG emissions by road transport, several actions have been discussed to promote the use of more efficient and cleaner vehicles worldwide. Consequently, there has been an increase in demand for more efficient vehicles including hybrids, electrics and low-emission fuels such as ethanol, hydrogen and biodiesel. This study evaluates the impact on the Brazilian energy matrix, thus taking into account the growth of EVs in Brazil through the methodology of scenarios. It is observed that for the scenario called pessimistic in which the country grows only 1% per year, the current investment in energy would satisfy the future energy demands, including the increase in the number of electric cars. Nevertheless, for other growth scenarios, such as the most likely scenario (growth of 4% per year), Brazil would have to invest an average of R$ 12 billion reais just in new energy generating plants.
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2
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RAFAEL SALLES PEREIRA
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COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS BETWEEN CO2 EMISSION ESTIMATION METHODS FOR TRUCKS IN THE TRANSPORT OF GRAIN
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Leader : AUGUSTO CESAR DE MENDONCA BRASIL
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MEMBRES DE LA BANQUE :
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PATRÍCIA BITTENCOURT TAVARES DAS NEVES
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AUGUSTO CESAR DE MENDONCA BRASIL
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MARCIO DE ALMEIDA D AGOSTO
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RITA DE CASSIA SILVA
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Data: 20 avr. 2023
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Afficher le Résumé
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Freight transport is predominantly carried out by road in Brazil and, as one of the largest producers of soybeans and corn in the world, the movement of these grains is of great importance in the country's logistics network. The state of Mato Grosso is the largest producer of these agricultural products and part of its production is destined for export, which requires a movement of average distances greater than 1,000 kilometers. Thus, there is a need to quantify the amount of CO2 emitted in the transport of this cargo from its point of origin to the port to be exported. Therefore, after defining the municipality of Sorriso-MT as the largest producer of corn and soy in the country and the port of Santos-SP as the largest exporter of these grains, a road route was traced and the amount of grain moved was estimated, between these two points. The Brazilian truck fleet was characterized and, adopting the bit-train vehicle, the amount of trips needed to transport the entire estimated load was calculated. The fuel consumption and CO2 emissions of these trucks were then estimated based on the IPCC Bottom-up methodology, which were adopted as a reference. It is then proposed to build consumption equations based on data from heavy vehicles provided by a fleet monitoring company so that it would be possible to calculate, together with speed cycles also obtained from these data, the fuel consumption of vehicles in operation on the desired route. The results obtained from the proposed procedure showed a good degree of agreement with that obtained by the Bottom-up methodology. The VECTO tool was also used to carry out simulations from the data obtained to find a third estimate of gas emissions, however, the results obtained were not consistent with the adopted reference and it was concluded that the program is not adequate to be used in the Brazilian reality without due prior adjustments. Finally, it was concluded that the studied logistics chain emits between 63.52 and 74.09 thousand tons of CO2, which corresponds to up to 47.60 kg of CO2 per transported ton.
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3
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Isabela Soares Machado Reichert
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THE IMPLEMENTATION OF THE FREE-FLOW SYSTEM ON BRAZILIAN FEDERAL HIGHWAYS: TOLL RATES IMPACTS IN A CASE STUDY OF THE BR-101/RJ/SP
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Leader : PASTOR WILLY GONZALES TACO
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MEMBRES DE LA BANQUE :
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JOSÉ ELIEVAM BESSA JÚNIOR
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MICHELLE ANDRADE
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PASTOR WILLY GONZALES TACO
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REINALDO CRISPINIANO GARCIA
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Data: 30 juin 2023
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Afficher le Résumé
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The free-flow system toll collection is already a reality in Brazil, having been implemented in part of the stretch concession called RioSP, and has the potential to generate major changes in tariff policies in road infrastructures. However, an important factor to be considered is the trend towards an increase in user defaults, as there is no physical barrier to prevent passage without paying the due toll rate. Thus, the objective of the study was to evaluate the toll rate impacts of the implementation of the free-flow system in a case study of the BR-101/RJ/SP. In this context, a systematic review of the literature was carried out, identifying the characteristics, advantages and disadvantages, the advances achieved by Brazil and the challenges to be overcome in order to expand the use of the free-flow system in the country. To assess the toll rate impacts on the cash flow of the BR-101/RJ/SP, two free-flow implementation scenarios were simulated: one just replacing the toll plazas provided for in the original contract; another proposing a pure free-flow model with charging per homogeneous segment at 17 charging points. To analyze the feasibility of the simulated scenarios, the concept of allowable non-payment was used, for which the economic-financial balance of the concession occurs with the kilometer toll rate and the project's original internal rate of return. The BR-101/RJ/SP concession’s Feasibility Studies were used to support the analysis of the free-flow implementation in part of the concession section. The momentum transport and billing system costs were calculated for the proposed model. As a result, on the one hand, it was found that the implementation of free-flow billing gateways at the same billing points originally studied is advantageous, resulting in a toll rate reduction of 14% or allowing margin to absorb up to 13.5% of frustration from annual revenue due to defaults. On the other hand, the simulation of charging per homogeneous segment on the highway under study, which increases 14 collection points, despite achieving the objective of tariff justice, implied a 24% increase in the kilometer toll rate in the base scenario.
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4
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Júlia Alves Porto
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USE OF CONFLICT DATA FOR ROAD SAFETY ASSESSMENT
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Leader : MICHELLE ANDRADE
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MEMBRES DE LA BANQUE :
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MICHELLE ANDRADE
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FABIANA SERRA DE ARRUDA
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PASTOR WILLY GONZALES TACO
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FLÁVIO JOSÉ CRAVEIRO CUNTO
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Data: 30 juin 2023
Ata de defesa assinada:
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Afficher le Résumé
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Traditionally, road safety studies are based on traffic accident data. Although these data are the main reference for different road safety analysis methods, they have relevant negative aspects, such as: the time required to obtain the amount of data sufficient to carry out the necessary statistical analyses; unreliability in data collection methods; underreporting of traffic accidents; and the difficulty of accessing complete data. These are some of the reasons that justify the use of alternative security assessment methods, among which the use of conflict data stands out. A traffic conflict is a traffic interaction that could have resulted in an accident, but did not, due to evasive action taken by one of the parties involved. The severity of the conflict can be measured by behavioral indicators or spatial or temporal proximity between those involved. To help identify conflicts without biasing the researcher's gaze, computer vision techniques have been used to track vehicles and automatically measure speed and trajectory projection to allow the identification and measurement of the severity of conflicts. This dissertation reviews methods of analysis and application techniques for conflict analysis used in the last 12 years. In addition, a case study was carried out in intersections in the Federal District using behavioral indicators to identify conflicts and temporal proximity indicators calculated by the Traffic Intelligence software, developed in partnership by researchers from the University of British Columbia and Polytechnique Montréal. The present work contributes to future work involving conflict data, indicating the difficulties encountered in the methods studied, such as the subjectivity of manual analysis, the limitations observed by the shooting angle used and the need for better calibration to reduce tracking errors; and also some positive results, such as the high accuracy rate of the computer vision code when the aerial image captured by the drone was analyzed. In addition, a precedent is set for investigating whether proximity indicators are adequate for the Brazilian traffic profile, mainly due to the habit of motorcyclists traveling in the corridors between lanes.
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5
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KEVIN MASINDA MAHEMA
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COMPONENTS FOR CLASSIFICATION OF INTELLIGENT ROAD CORRIDORS IN BRAZIL
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Leader : PASTOR WILLY GONZALES TACO
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MEMBRES DE LA BANQUE :
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PASTOR WILLY GONZALES TACO
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FABIO ZANCHETTA
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RITA DE CASSIA SILVA
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ANDRÉ LUIZ BARBOSA NUNES DA CUNHA
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Data: 30 juin 2023
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Afficher le Résumé
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In intelligent transportation, the great challenge is to achieve an efficient transportation system for the transport of people and goods. With the emergence of Autonomous Vehicles (AVs) new contextual and operational challenges bring the need for a coordinated development between the actors involved in the deployment of these modern technologies and the components necessary for the joint operation of AVs, pedestrians, infrastructure, and technological devices with the ability to communicate with each other efficiently and safely. The advantages and benefits arising from the operation of AVs on highways, in mixed or segregated traffic, will not be possible without the development of a quality and intelligent road infrastructure. In face of this new reality, the need arises to identify which components are necessary for the implementation of an intelligent infrastructure capable of receiving the AVs and meet their incorporation into the transportation system. In this sense, this dissertation aims to identify the components that characterize an intelligent highway in the Brazilian context and classify them according to their degree of importance. Based on a systematic literature review, five main methodologies were identified to classify intelligent highways: i) road infrastructure support levels for automated driving; ii) smart road classification; iii) classification of readiness of European highways for adopting connected, automated and electric vehicles; iv) connected roadway classification system; and v) road infrastructure ready for mixed vehicles traffic flows. Based on the methodologies, a questionnaire was prepared and applied to several specialists who work in the transportation area, whether in public management, consulting, academia, and private enterprise. A general and a specific analysis was performed according to the segments in which the specialists work. The most important components in the general vision of the specialists were: connectivity, security, physical infrastructure, digital infrastructure, vehicle automation, and user. Based on these components, the need arises to discuss what would be the path to be followed to implement and classify an Intelligent Road Corridor (IRC) in Brazil.
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6
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Rafaela Nobrega
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ANALYSIS OF INFLUENTIAL FACTORS IN THE CHOICE OF TRANSPORT MODE BY GENDER
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Leader : FABIANA SERRA DE ARRUDA
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MEMBRES DE LA BANQUE :
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FABIANA SERRA DE ARRUDA
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AUGUSTO CESAR DE MENDONCA BRASIL
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PASTOR WILLY GONZALES TACO
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JESSICA HELENA DE LIMA
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Data: 30 juin 2023
Ata de defesa assinada:
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Afficher le Résumé
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Urban mobility in cities presents several options for displacement, however, the choice of users regarding the use of transport modes does not work homogeneously. This is because, according to the literature, aspects related to security, household composition, purchasing power and urban infrastructure are interpreted differently depending on the individual's gender. The present work aims to analyze the perceptions of men and women about their daily commutes. Together with a bibliographic survey on the subject, an analysis of the perception of urban mobility by gender was carried out based on comments made on Twitter. This step served to define which factors possibly influence users in relation to urban mobility and was the basis for the elaboration of a questionnaire that was applied to citizens of Brasilia. The results were analyzed using the Mann-Whitney U non-parametric test for independent samples (using SPSS) and show that men and women tend to use different types of transport, as well as being primarily bothered by different issues. It is noted that even though most men and women have similar characteristics, as described above, some questions obtained different response patterns between genders. And within the group of women, it was also possible to perceive different responses depending on whether they are mothers. These notes, even if made based on a sample that is not significant for the population of the Federal District due to the low number of responses, help to promote the discussion of the need for transport planners to take into account possible specific aspects of the transport users to make everyday urban mobility more efficient. The results found here are the starting point for more robust studies, which with data complementation and larger sample collection, can help governors in the elaboration of public policies that promote greater gender equity in access to transport, and encourage the planning of inclusive systems and egalitarian.
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7
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Alessandro Reichert
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PPP FINANCING STRUCTURES AND THE CHALLENGES OF THE FINANCIABILITY OF THE BRAZILIAN FEDERAL ROAD CONCESSION PROGRAM
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Leader : FRANCISCO GILDEMIR FERREIRA DA SILVA
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MEMBRES DE LA BANQUE :
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FRANCISCO GILDEMIR FERREIRA DA SILVA
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FABIANA SERRA DE ARRUDA
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MICHELLE ANDRADE
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Leandro Rodrigues e Silva
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Data: 28 juil. 2023
Ata de defesa assinada:
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Afficher le Résumé
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Concessions are a type of partnership with the private sector increasingly used by different governments to carry out road infrastructure works. These highly complex projects are characterized by a high concentration of investments in the first few years of cash flow, which requires raising a relevant portion of debt in the financial market. Understanding the importance of capital costs and setting up an adequate financial strategy is a critical success factor to be considered by public entities that act in the structuring of projects of this nature. In this context, an integrative literature review was carried out on the theme of financing road PPP projects, encompassing the main concepts and advantages of this modality, the main related parties and their interests in this process, and the different alternatives for public and private financing applicable. The elements found in the literature were compared with evidence and empirical data extracted from the Brazilian market of highway concessions. In the second part of the research, a questionnaire was applied to a group of specialists who work in banks that finance concession projects in Brazil. Based on the AHP methodology, a model was developed to measure the relative importance of the different aspects that make up the due diligence process of these financial institutions. 17 analysis criteria were compared, divided into 5 different dimensions. The results show that the most relevant factors considered by banks for granting loans are those related to project revenue generation estimates and the associated risk level, followed by the soundness of contractual clauses and the correct pricing of planned investments. These criteria account for more than 65% of the relevance of all aspects analyzed. The research results bring important indications about the main elements of the economicfinancial model that must be refined in order to enhance the financeability of road concession projects. In addition, through the integrative literature review, it was possible to list several possibilities for government participation in the financing of PPP projects, with the potential to be used in Brazil.
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8
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Glauber Lorenzoni Rodrigues
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The Economic Impacts of COVID-19 on Waterway Transportation in Brazil
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Leader : NEANTRO SAAVEDRA RIVANO
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MEMBRES DE LA BANQUE :
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NEANTRO SAAVEDRA RIVANO
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ALAN RICARDO DA SILVA
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MICHELLE ANDRADE
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VANESSA DE ALMEIDA GUIMARÃES
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Data: 24 oct. 2023
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Afficher le Résumé
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This dissertation analyzes the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Brazil's waterway transportation system (2019-2021). Ports exhibited resilience, experiencing cargo growth despite the pandemic, while organized ports led the increase in long-haul navigation. Cabotage remained stable but was affected by reduced petroleum demand. Inland navigation faced fluctuations, reflecting market adaptability. Challenges encompassed health restrictions, supply chain disruptions, and demand shifts. Solutions involve technology investment, trend monitoring, and safety protocols. This study underscores the sector's adaptability and resilience in navigating the pandemic's challenges, crucial for its sustained contribution to Brazil's economy.
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9
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Luiz Marcel Silva de Mello
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DISPOSITIVO SENSOR NA DISTÂNCIA LATERAL DE ULTRAPASSAGEM: UM ESTUDO DE CASO COM MODELO DE APRENDIZADO NÃO SUPERVISIONADO PARA ESTIMAR LOCAIS DE RISCO À MOBILIDADE POR BICICLETA
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Leader : MICHELLE ANDRADE
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MEMBRES DE LA BANQUE :
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MICHELLE ANDRADE
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LI WEIGANG
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PASTOR WILLY GONZALES TACO
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JORGE TIAGO BASTOS
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Data: 26 oct. 2023
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Afficher le Résumé
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A locomoção por bicicleta está aumentando significativamente em todo o mundo e como um modo de transporte ativo o ciclismo pode potencialmente reduzir o congestionamento do tráfego e a poluição do ar. Além disso, promover um estilo de vida ativo pode melhorar a saúde pública e tornar as cidades mais amigáveis para as pessoas. No entanto, a quantidade de ocorrências e fatalidades envolvendo ciclistas ainda é preocupante. As Medidas de Segurança Substitutas (SSM) são indicadores promissores para avaliar a segurança no tráfego com base em conflitos, em vez de sinistros e acidentes. O termo "substitutas" é usado porque as medidas se baseiam em conflitos de tráfego e não em sinistros. Além disso, a triagem de rede garante uma identificação eficiente de locais perigosos para reduzir o número e a gravidade dos sinistros. Portanto, essa metodologia pode ser realizada tanto por uma abordagem reativa quanto por uma abordagem proativa. No que diz respeito às abordagens proativas, bicicletas instrumentadas com sensores tornaram-se cada vez mais úteis para pesquisas no campo da mobilidade. Por meio de um dispositivo de detecção portátil e multifuncional, é possível coletar dados de trajetória de bicicletas e a Distância Lateral de Ultrapassagem (LPD) usando variados sensores conectados a um sistema de banco de dados. Dessa forma, o presente estudo tem como objetivo estimar áreas de risco para a mobilidade ativa, aplicando algoritmos de aprendizado de máquina não supervisionado (K-Means e DBSCAN) com base em dispositivos sensores para a coleta de dados. Os resultados da Distância Lateral de Ultrapassagem (LPD) coletados entre bicicletas e veículos foram então relacionados aos dados do ciclista. Além da pesquisa de clusterização, foi realizada a correlação entre as características para identificar como os dados interagiam entre si. Alguns desses dados incluem velocidade, elevação do percurso, altitude, informações do acelerômetro e giroscópio a partir de uma coleta de dados naturalística na rua. Em relação aos dados gerais, 25% das leituras relativas à distância lateral de passagem têm menos de 136,36 cm. Quando o modelo de agrupamento é aplicado, 25% dessas leituras tiverem menos de 100,13 cm; para o segundo quartil, 50% tiveram menos de 193,69 cm. Isso indica uma LPD crítica para um dos grupos com 75 leituras, quando considerado o limite de 150 cm para a distância mínima de afastamento lateral estabelecida pela legislação brasileira. A metodologia foi aplicada a um estudo de caso em uma avenida do centro da cidade de Brasília, em torno do Parque da Cidade. Por fim, este estudo objetiva uma aplicação metodológica e analítica de segurança cicloviária orientada a dados através da utilização de algoritmos de aprendizado de máquina.
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10
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Matheus Araújo Maciel
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PERCEPTION OF SUBWAY USER SATISFACTION USING THE IMPORTANCE-SATISFACTION ANALYSIS (ISA) METHOD
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Leader : MICHELLE ANDRADE
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MEMBRES DE LA BANQUE :
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MICHELLE ANDRADE
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FABIANA SERRA DE ARRUDA
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PASTOR WILLY GONZALES TACO
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ANDRE LUIS POLICANI FREITAS
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Data: 11 déc. 2023
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Afficher le Résumé
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The public transportation system provides an important service to society, directly impacting the safety, health, and quality of life of its users. It is well-known that user perception is a crucial tool for the continuous improvement of service quality, as it enables effective resource management. Thus, the objective of this study is to identify aspects influencing the importance and satisfaction perception of users of the Rio de Janeiro subway system. Based on the literature, 20 items were identified and grouped into 9 categories for use in a questionnaire administered to MetrôRio users. A ranking analysis was conducted to identify the most important items for the decision to use the MetrôRio system. Additionally, the Importance-Satisfaction Analysis (ISA) method was employed, classifying the assessed items according to users' levels of importance and satisfaction. The results indicated that the most important items for users to use the system are Safety and Security (related to accidents and crimes on trains and stations) and Tickets (price and special fares). Finally, the items of greatest importance and with lower satisfaction levels for respondents are ticket prices and the quantity of people inside the trains. These findings can contribute to more effective strategic analyses and decision-making in the management of MetrôRio.
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11
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Samuel Morgan Teixeira Costa
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O comportamento de dirigir sob efeito de álcool: um estudo sob a Teoria do Comportamento Planejado
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Leader : MICHELLE ANDRADE
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MEMBRES DE LA BANQUE :
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MICHELLE ANDRADE
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FABIANA SERRA DE ARRUDA
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PASTOR WILLY GONZALES TACO
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INGRID LUIZA NETO
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Data: 22 déc. 2023
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Afficher le Résumé
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A condução sob a influência de álcool responde por quase um terço dos sinistros de trânsito ao redor do mudo. Embora os efeitos do álcool no corpo humano sejam bem conhecidos, os fatores que motivam as pessoas à prática desse comportamento ainda exigem uma análise mais detalhada. Através da Teoria do Comportamento Planejado de Ajzen – TPB (1991), buscou-se identificar as crenças salientes e avaliar os construtos que subjazem a essa conduta de dirigir sob efeito de álcool. Inicialmente, seguindo o método da TPB, um estudo piloto com questionário de perguntas abertas sobre crenças foi administrado a 192 motoristas no Distrito Federal. Posteriormente, no estudo principal, com perguntas fechadas para avaliar as crenças e os construtos básicos da TCP, 745 indivíduos responderam ao questionário. Um terceiro e último instrumento, tendo como objetivo o comportamento de fato, foi elaborado e aplicado, com 52 retornos. Os resultados da primeira etapa passaram por uma análise de conteúdo que identificou e codificou as crenças salientes comportamentais, normativas e de controle percebido que influenciam na decisão de beber e dirigir. No estudo principal, os dados passaram por procedimentos estatísticos por meio de correlações, análise fatorial exploratória e regressões. Os resultados apontaram que motoristas do sexo masculino, na medida que avançam em idade, são mais propensos a dirigir sob a influência de álcool. Além disso, verificou-se correlações significativas entre crenças comportamentais e de controle percebido face aos construtos da atitude (ATT) e do controle comportamental percebido (CCP) e, desses, na intenção (INT) de dirigir sob a influência de álcool. Normas subjetivas, embora importantes, tiveram menor impacto. Assim, sugere-se que possíveis medidas de intervenções pela segurança viária devem visar, principalmente, os construtos da ATT e do CCP, abordando medidas voltadas à percepção do risco, às consequências legais, aos efeitos do álcool no organismo, à influência de pessoas significativas, como vítimas e autoridades de trânsito, e ao fomento ao uso de meios alternativos de locomoção quando sob efeito de álcool.
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Thèses |
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1
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Alan de Oliveira Lopes
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A METHODOLOGY TO ANALYZE THE RISK IN DELAYING HIGHWAY WORKS: A CASE STUDY IN HIRINGS BY THE BRAZILIAN NATIONAL DEPARTMENT OF INFRASTRUCTURE
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Leader : MICHELLE ANDRADE
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MEMBRES DE LA BANQUE :
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MICHELLE ANDRADE
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ALAN RICARDO DA SILVA
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FRANCISCO GILDEMIR FERREIRA DA SILVA
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SANDRA ODA
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JOSÉ LEOMAR FERNANDES JÚNIOR
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Data: 30 janv. 2023
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Afficher le Résumé
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Risk analysis in project management is one of the recommended techniques to mitigate difficulties in the implementation of road infrastructures. Most applications are based on methods that use experts opinion as their source of data. However, usually the stakeholders have antagonistic interests, which leads to the risk of bias in the results. In this context, this research proposes to analyze the risk of delay in the execution of public procurements for roads construction and restoration based on objective data in the bidding stage of the project. The proposed predictive model of the Effective Execution Deadline - EED aimed to mitigate the risk of the “optimism paradox” through the application of negative binomial regression. Independent quantitative and qualitative variables were modeled, categorized into economic, political, contracted object and contracting agency. Through a Case Study applied to the Brazil`s National Department of Transport Infrastructure - DNIT, with a sample of 158 contracts executed between the years 1993 to 2017, a generalized linear model was obtained with a Pseudo R2 adjustment coefficient of 74%.
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2
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Marcelo Pereira Almeida
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Residential mobility model for understanding travel behavior
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Leader : FABIANA SERRA DE ARRUDA
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MEMBRES DE LA BANQUE :
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FABIANA SERRA DE ARRUDA
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AUGUSTO CESAR DE MENDONCA BRASIL
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PASTOR WILLY GONZALES TACO
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CIRA SOUZA PITOMBO
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INGRID LUIZA NETO
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Data: 31 juil. 2023
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Afficher le Résumé
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The objective of the thesis was to estimate the relationships established by residential mobility for understanding travel behavior. To this end, a conceptual model and a measurement instrument on residential mobility were developed to encompass the individual decision to stay in their current residence or change residence. The choice of residential location was analyzed in relation to the built environment and residential self-selection to understand the choice of transportation mode. In addition to the conceptual contribution, the methodological procedures of the research instrument involved analysis, translation, adaptation, and scientific validations to carry out an empirical application. The model was tested using structural equation modeling with 1,418 individuals in the Federal District, Brazil, through two distinct samples: those who stayed and those who changed residence in the last 5 years. The results obtained from both samples indicate that the characteristics of the built environment, such as urban structure, distance, and neighborhood, have a greater influence on the choice of residential location than behavioral factors related to residential self-selection, such as travel abilities, preferences, and needs. The results presented in both samples suggest that the built environment does not influence the choice of transportation mode, and residential self-selection does not influence the choice of residential location. Furthermore, for the sample of individuals who stayed in their residence, it was found that residential self-selection does not influence the decision to stay. In conclusion, for both samples, the decision to stay or change residence and the choice of residential location influence the choice of transportation mode.
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3
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Edwin Francisco Ferreira Silva
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NUMERICAL MODEL OF ENERGY CONSUMPTION AND CO2 EMISSIONS IN SUPPORT OF MOBILITY PLANS
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Leader : AUGUSTO CESAR DE MENDONCA BRASIL
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MEMBRES DE LA BANQUE :
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AUGUSTO CESAR DE MENDONCA BRASIL
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FABIANA SERRA DE ARRUDA
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RITA DE CASSIA SILVA
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LUIZA CARLA GIRARD MENDES TEIXEIRA
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TIAGO ALEXANDRE ABRANCHES TEIXEIRA LOPES FARIAS
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Data: 21 déc. 2023
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Afficher le Résumé
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This study proposes the development of a model to determine energy consumption and CO2 emissions in mobility plans. For this purpose, field measurements were conducted using three vehicles with the same power-to-weight ratio: an internal combustion vehicle, a hybrid vehicle, and an electric vehicle. Trips were undertaken on five main routes to characterize the driving cycles of the Federal District. Subsequently, universal correlation functions were proposed for different vehicular technologies, for peak and off-peak hours, associating fuel consumption and CO2 emissions with speed. Additionally, using the consolidated data of average speed on the routes, both from the measurement of onboard diagnostic (OBD) data and from traffic radar information, a frequency distribution analysis was conducted, characterizing the respective speeds by range. This allowed for the establishment of the percentage of speeds that make up the trips, for peak and off-peak hours. In a second approach to the study, the obtained data were coded using Excel to result in an aggregated view, yielding data on the consumption and emissions of CO2 in terms of the number of trips determined in the mobility plans, the distance traveled, and the percentage of each established technology. Thus, a model was developed and calibrated for the city of Brasília, and later used to simulate future scenarios using different technologies, for peak and off-peak hours. The results obtained with the developed model showed that with a greater participation of more efficient vehicles, such as battery electric vehicles (BEV) and hybrid vehicles (HEV), and an even greater participation of ethanolpowered vehicles, there is a significant reduction in CO2 emissions. Finally, the use of the developed tool allows managers and transportation planning experts, through the generation of future scenarios, to propose and implement more effective policies to reduce CO2 emissions, thereby contributing to more sustainable mobility.
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