Banca de DEFESA: Leonardo Carvalho de Mello

Uma banca de DEFESA de DOUTORADO foi cadastrada pelo programa.
STUDENT : Leonardo Carvalho de Mello
DATE: 30/06/2023
TIME: 14:00
LOCAL: FACE/UnB
TITLE:

“ESSAYS ON THE EFFECTS OF POLITICAL ALIGNMENT FOR THE REDISTRIBUTION OF INTERGOVERNMENTAL RESOURCES IN BRAZIL - ANALYSIS WITH DISCONTINUOUS REGRESSION”

KEY WORDS:

political alignment; public resource allocation; distribution; intergovernmental transfers; public credit operations with guarantees; discontinuous regression; kink regression; evaluation of public policies; subsidies; tie the enemy's hands; swing voter; core voter.

PAGES: 175
BIG AREA: Ciências Sociais Aplicadas
AREA: Economia
SUMMARY:

This work studies how the political-partisan alignment between the federal and municipal levels of government in Brazil interferes with the allocation of three different mechanisms for the distribution of resources: federal infrastructure transfers, the “Programa Minha Casa Minha Vida” (PMCMV) and the Revenues through Credit Operations of the Municipalities. Each of the mechanisms has particularities, especially regarding the degree of discretion of the central government for its allocation, which allows reaching a broad view of the aforementioned effect. This work is motivated by the low effectiveness of the use of public resources in achieving the intended results in their origin and the possible misalignment between public and partisan interests in the management of public resources. In addition, it seeks to deepen a more circumscribed investigation on the same capital transfers mentioned above in Brazil by Brollo and Nannicini (2012). The result obtained here, in the period after 2012, of more concentrated allocation in Municipalities with greater electoral competition is close to the result predicted by the theoretical model of Lindbeck and Weibull (1987) and differs from the mentioned empirical study. This prompted exploring the alignment effect for other distribution mechanisms. Additionally, the work innovates by exploring one of the largest federal public subsidy programs, aimed at the housing needs of the population, the PMCMV, and by using the modern method of Regression Discontinuity Design (RDD) to study the effect of alignment policy for municipal revenues through credit operations. This last object is evaluated in the period between 2009 and 2020, covering part of the COVID-19 pandemic period. Thus, it captured a loosening of the norms that governed this type of revenue and different results were obtained in the 2019-2020 biennium in relation to the others with a tendency to allocation in locations with greater electoral competition. The work also finds a tendency to allocate PMCMV to Municipalities with greater electoral competition and there are indications of the effect of the electoral cycle on housing projects. It is hoped that this work can help society to reduce the asymmetry between public and party-political interests regarding the allocation of public resources, especially through the work of the control bodies that exert influence over the final allocation via determinations and inspections.

BANKING MEMBERS:
Interna - 1546818 - ANA CAROLINA PEREIRA ZOGHBI
Externo à Instituição - Bernardo Patta Schettini - IPEA
Externo à Instituição - CARLOS RENATO DE MELO CASTRO - ME
Presidente - 2003700 - MICHAEL CHRISTIAN LEHMANN
Interno - 1981130 - RAFAEL TERRA DE MENEZES